DCR Politics: Democrats are scrambling into defensive posture in final stage of midterms.☕☕☕

Ayyyeee… What’s Goodie Everyone. So I got some tea and it involves the democratic party and midterms.

Democrats have pumped at least $6.3 million worth of advertising investments into a trio of congressional districts in New York and New Jersey, where President Joe Biden won by at least eight percentage points.

In Pennsylvania, Democrats were trying to move past a bad debate performance by John Fetterman, who is recovering from a stroke. One former party official relayed hearing from people who wondered why Fetterman agreed to debate during his recovery. The U.S. Senate nominee’s once comfortable polling lead has shrunk in a race that party leaders have long seen as their best opportunity to flip a red Senate seat and take a step closer to preserving their narrow majority in the chamber.

Less than two weeks before the midterm elections, Democrats have moved into a defensive crouch, scrambling to shore up the party’s candidates as Republicans charge deeper into their terrain. The scope of their challenge has come into sharper focus in the past 48 hours, when much of the attention in the party has been on protecting swaths of the country where Democrats have long enjoyed more support. There support however is declining among Black Americans.

Multiple Democratic strategists said that fear of losing the right to abortion is proving to be a less motivating factor in blue states because voters believe their access to the procedure will be protected by current laws and Democratic control of state government. That has been compounded by other factors, some said. One Democratic strategist, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to be more candid, described a “blue-state depression” for House races, pointing specifically to New York, Oregon and California where a handful of races are “closer than normal.”

Another strategist said that the democratic party abandoned it’s number one base and that is the Foundational Black American voter block. According to Alisha Smith who is a democratic strategist she says “The democratic party has catered to every race these past two years but hasn’t done anything for the Black community. From the crime bill to repairations and economic stability, the democratic party has been highly negligent.”

The spending came in the wake of the Congressional Leadership Fund, the main GOP House outside group, announcing that it had poured $11 million into new or expanded ad buys in 16 congressional districts. Biden won seven of them in 2020 by double digits, the group noted. Among them was Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District, where Jill Biden campaigned for Democrat Seth Magaziner, the state treasurer and party nominee for the House seat.

In New York, Biden will appear Thursday with Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul, who is struggling to fend off attacks from Rep. Lee Zeldin, the GOP nominee. Hochul is favored to win, but Zeldin’s focus on rising crime in the state is making the race far more competitive than most expected.
Zeldin opened a Tuesday debate with a plea for a more urgent response to crime, saying Hochul should call a special session of the legislature to address the problem. Concern about crime is a potent issue in New York and is contributing to a tighter than expected gubernatorial race as well as tightening House races.

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